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The Classical League Table and Total Shots Rates

Powered by Tableau This is the familiar league table format, complemented with the Total Shots Rate. The Total Shots Rate, or TSR, is calculated by dividing the total number of shots taken by a team...

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The Projected Final Eredivisie League Table

Powered by Tableau This is the projected final standings of the 2012/13 Eredivisie. These projections are derived from the teams Total Shot Rates so far this season. The TSR is calculated by dividing...

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Most Valuable Players by Win Points Added

Powered by Tableau This is the list of Most Valuable Players in terms of Win Points Added. Win Points Added (WPA) are calculated on the basis of the shift in odds that occur following a certain goal...

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Alternative league table: The Relative Performance

In our series of alternative league tables, one element was clearly missing. We’ve started with the classic league table and added Total Shots Rates to identify high quality, sustainable performance....

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Romania 1 – 4 Holland: An important win with a secret return to two holding...

Holland played their best game in the second Van Gaal era to defeat Romania and earn an important win on the road to the 2014 World Championships in Brazil. Despite Van Gaal’s firm statement that he...

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Heerenveen 3 – 0 Groningen: Derby of the North decided in second half

Heerenveen was the Derby of the North quite simply in the second half, but the score line covered up the fact that the first half was a quite close affair, with Groningen having a fair share of chances...

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Ajax 3 – 1 Manchester City: Smart tactical move helps Ajax win first...

With a nice tactical twist by Frank de Boer, Ajax turned the score around to beat Manchester City 3-1 after conceding the first goal. Goals by captain Siem de Jong, Niklas Moisander and Christian...

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Feyenoord 2 – 2 Ajax: An action packed ‘Klassieker’

A Feyenoord academy graduate scoring the opening goal on his debut, two come-back goals, tactical tweaks, a sending off and a late ‘golazo’ to equalize the score in the final minutes… Some matches just...

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What if Wilfried Bony was a professional cyclist?

Make no mistake, I think that he is a good player, and that he probably is a very good player, but Vitesse striker Wilfried Bony is not the world-beater that people take him for. The Ivory Coast...

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Introducing the ‘Relative Shots Rate’

It has all kind of characteristics to make it both in the wide world of football blogging, and in the even wider world of football journalism. The Total Shots Rate, or TSR, is simple and easy to...

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Separating offensive and defensive performances

What makes Heracles and RKC the two extremes of the Eredivisie? What area does Marco van Basten need to work on at Heerenveen? Why does PSV stand out from the rest of the title contenders? And why is...

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Separating home and away strength

Would you rather play Ajax at home or NAC away? Obviously, Ajax is a lot stronger than NAC, but playing at home is preferable to playing away from home… Difficult choice I would say, and luckily, only...

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What is a normal PDO?

The ever present challenge in football analytics is separating luck from skill. In a low scoring sport such as football, there will always be teams that fly high simply due to a spell of good fortune,...

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Relative Shot Rates and PDO in the English Premier League

With the Dutch Eredivisie taking its usual winter break, the opportunity arises to apply some of the most promising metrics in football analysis to other leagues around Europe. The driving force behind...

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The next step in football analytics: Game States

One of the most appreciated posts last year on 11tegen11 did not contain any numbers, nor did it contain any tactical analysis. It did contain a picture of a flying pig (really…) to help making the...

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Game states and conversion

Sometimes the easy questions can be the hardest ones to answer correctly. This is true in statistics, and since we apply numbers to football, this is true in football analytics as well. Take the never...

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Ajax is better than PSV in the Game State that matters most

Football analytics is a young business. And as such, it is still a rapidly developing field, where new concepts are launched all around. Some of these concepts are there to stay, others disappear as...

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What if we played the Eredivisie a million times?

Which team is currently the strongest of the Eredivisie? Ask this question to a fan, a manager, a pundit and an analytic football blogger and you will probably come up with four very different answers…...

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Where do the best shots come from?

Some people may say that odd-year summers are a dull moment for soccer fans, but I tend to disagree. Instead of getting us sucked into the maelstrom of actuality, this period allows us take a step back...

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A deeper look at shot locations: we still need Game State

Sometimes, what we intuitively have known for a long time, makes sense in the numbers too. That’s probably a good sign and it is certainly true for shot location. Basically, the further away from goal...

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